Lions vs. Blue Bombers Week 21 picks and predictions: Winnipeg starters flex muscles in Finals


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Week 21 in the CFL kicks off Friday with a matchup between the BC Lions and the Winnipeg Blue Bombers.

This is Winnipeg’s final tune-up before hosting the Western Division Final on November 13, while British Columbia will host the Western Semi-Final on November 6.

Betting on the final week of the CFL regular season is always tricky, but there’s an angle I like here with my top free CFL picks and predictions for the Lions vs. Blue Bombers.

Best Lions vs Blue Bombers Odds

Lions vs Blue Bombers Picks and Predictions

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It’s going to be a weird week to handicap in the CFL with every playoff berth already set in stone. The Lions are guaranteed a home playoff date with the Stamps next weekend, while the Bombers have been stuck in first place since stomping on the Elks in Week 18.

They actually played the Lions the following week and with the top seed already sealed, they sat several players including MVP favorite Zach Collaros and three starters on their offensive line. They lost that game 40-32 but got a solid performance from young backup QB Dru Brown while their defense kept the Lions to just 138 passing yards.

Although it was an important game for the Lions, they barely won at home with TJ Lee scoring on a 102-yard interception return when the Bombers were on the goal line and ready to tie. Now they have nothing to play for and will probably be more concerned with keeping the players healthy for next weekend.

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As for the Bombers, I expect them to play most of their starters. Since they’re coming off a bye and seated key players in Week 19, they won’t risk these guys getting rusty by not getting any playing time for over a month.

Also, wide receivers Greg Ellingson and Drew Wolitarsky are back in practice after missing a lot of time due to injuries, and Winnipeg head coach Mike O’Shea will want them back. game speed before throwing them into a playoff game.

The @Wpg_BlueBombers offensive session opens with Zach Collaros at QB. Ellingson and Wolitarsky in, Demski here but without a helmet. Eric Lofton at LT. — Ed Tait (@EdTaitWFC) October 24, 2022

Collaros and studs like Stanley Bryant, Jermacus Hardrick, Jackson Jeffcoat and Deatrick Nichols may not play the whole game, but they should start. It makes me support the Bombers in the first half.

my best bet: Blue Bombers first half -2 (-114 to BetRegal)

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Analysis of the spread of the Lions against the Blue Bombers

The Bombers are coming off a bye after losing that meaningless Week 19 showdown. Before that, they crushed the Elks 48-11 to give them a league-best 14 wins.

The Bombers have won the last two Gray Cups with essentially the same team and are currently +125 three-round favorites. They’re a very strong team on both sides of the ball and they lead the league in both touchdowns scored (60) and touchdowns allowed (31).

The Lions have the second-best record in the league at 12-5. The Leos lead the CFL in net offense (390.7 yards per game) and are tied with the Bombers for second in net defense (330.1 YPG allowed), but have seriously regressed in both areas since losing the league. superstar QB Nathan Rourke with a foot injury in Week 11.

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Rourke returned to training two weeks ago and has stepped up but remains doubtful for the season finale or even the playoffs. Even with a healthy Rourke in Week 5, the Lions were slaughtered by the Bombers at BC Place, losing 43-22.

Despite how these teams best play each other, depth and who they choose to rest or play will likely be the most important factor on Friday.

Lions vs Blue Bombers Over/Under Analysis

Collaros leads a Winnipeg offense that has averaged 32.8 points per game since Week 5. Even with Collaros and three starting offensive linemen sitting in Week 19 (and RB starter Brady Oliveira barely playing), Winnipeg still threw for 399 yards against British Columbia.

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Meanwhile, the Bombers defense is holding its foes to 21.2 ppg and still looking tougher at IG Field in front of their home fans. That said, this defense hasn’t been as dominant as it has been in the past two seasons.

Winnipeg’s stopping unit is tied for last in the league with 34 sacks and allowed the second-highest rushing average on first down (6.9), but did a terrific job of tightening up their own end and offering big games when needed. .

Vernon Adams Jr. has been solid at QB for the Leos, but their offense is much less explosive without Rourke and they’ve also been beaten at receiver. Their two best wides Bryan Burnham and Lucky Whitehead have missed the last few weeks with injuries and are unlikely to be returned to the field for the final.

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Lions vs Blue Bombers game information

Location: Investors Group Field, Winnipeg, Manitoba
Date: Friday, October 28, 2022
To start up: 8:30 p.m. ET

Key injuries between Lions and Blue Bombers

The Lions: Nathan Rourke QB (Questionable), Lucky Whitehead WR (Questionable), Obum Gwachum DE (Questionable), Quincy Mauger DB (Questionable), Josh Banks DT (Questionable), Philip Norman LG (Questionable), Jalon Edwards-Cooper DB (Questionable) , Delvin Breaux Sr. DB (Out), Bryan Burnham WR (Out), Steven Richardson DT (Out).

Blue Bombers: Greg Ellingson WR (questionable), Drew Wolitarsky WR (questionable), Nic Demski WR (questionable), Stanley Bryant LT (questionable), Jermacus Hardrick RT (questionable), Jackson Jeffcoat DE (questionable), Nick Taylor DB (questionable), Malcolm Thompson DB (Questionable), Malik Clements LB (Questionable), Demerio Houston DB (Out), Kyrie Wilson LB (Out).

Check out our latest CFL injury reports.

Weather Lions vs Blue Bombers

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