Tiger-Cats vs. Blue Bombers Week 3 picks and predictions: Revenge on the Red River?

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Week 3 in the CFL features a rematch of the last two Gray Cups, as the Winnipeg Blue Bombers host the Hamilton Tiger-Cats at IG Field. The Bombers started the year with back-to-back wins over the Rouge et Noir while the Ticats are still looking for their first victory.

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The CFL betting lines hit the board with the defending champion Blue Bombers installed as a 5.5-point home favorite before shortening to -4.5.

Here are our top free Tiger-Cats vs. Blue Bombers picks and predictions for Friday, June 24, kicking off at 8:30 p.m. ET.

Tiger-Cats vs. Blue Bombers Odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each regulated sports betting market.

This line hit the board with the Bombers at -5.5 with the Over/Under at 42.5. Silver came early on the Ticats, moving the line at Winnipeg -4.5 and even as low as -3.5 at some pounds. The total held steady although there were a few sitting at 43 on Thursday afternoon.

Use the live odds widget above to track all future line moves right up to kick-off and be sure to check the full CFL odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.

Tiger-Cats vs Blue Bombers Week 3 Predictions

Predictions made on 06/23/2022 at 11 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to go to the full analysis.

Betting Guide0330

Tiger-Cats vs Blue Bombers game information

Location: IG Field, Winnipeg, MB
Date: Friday, June 24, 2022
To start up: 8:30 p.m. ET
TV: TSN

Tiger-Cats vs. Blue Bombers Betting Overview

Time

Key injuries

Tiger cats: Cariel Brooks DB (Out), Don Jackson RB (Out), Alex Fontana C (Out), Lemar Durant WR (Out).
Blue Bombers: Jermarcus Hardrick RT (Questionable), Michael Couture C (Out), Jackson Jeffcoat DE (Questionable), Winston Rose CB (Questionable), Brandon Alexander DB (Out), Mercy Maston DB (Out), Jesse Briggs LB (Out).
Check out our latest CFL injury reports.

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Tiger-Cats vs Blue Bombers picks and predictions

Our side and total predictions are based on our analysis of the line and total in this match. Our best bet is our preferred choice in all markets.

Propagation analysis

The Tiger-Cats are coming off a 33-30 overtime loss to the Stampeders where they squandered a 21-point halftime lead. This followed a Week 1 loss to the Roughriders, where they were in a close defensive battle with Saskatchewan until the final quarter – when they gave up 18 points. This poor play down the stretch is inexcusable for a team of veterans and a highly respected coaching staff who are aspiring to the Gray Cup.

The Bombers are 2-0 to start the year after a home-and-away game against the new-look Redblacks. Ottawa quarterback Jeremiah Masoli had success in the air, but Winnipeg’s defense did a great job of tightening up on their end, allowing just one touchdown in both games.

Winnipeg’s offense has seemed less explosive this year, which could be explained by the departures of star running back Andrew Harris and main receiver Kenny Lawler. That said, reigning CFL quarterback and MOP Zach Collaros still has enough goals to expand the field and move the chains when Winnipeg needs to score.

Ultimately, it’s hard to trust the Ticats right now, given their sloppy turnovers and second-half meltdowns to start the year. On the other hand, the Bombers are a great team in the clutch and just know how to win close games. With this line shortening to -3.5 in some books, I’m taking home favorites.

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Prediction: Blue Bombers -3.5 (-120 at FanDuel)

Covers CFL betting analysis

Over/under analysis

After struggling against the Riders’ stopping unit in Week 1, quarterback Dane Evans and the Ticats offense rode last week…at least until the second half.

Turnovers and poor execution led to just six points on a pair of baskets for the Ticats after halftime, and it’s hard to see them having more success against this dominant Bombers defense in the still hostile environment of ‘IG Field.

Sure, the Bombers’ D looks a little more vulnerable in the secondary this year than in 2021, but they’ve done a fantastic job of bending without breaking. It’s still a loaded and opportunistic Winnipeg stopping unit that should be able to exploit an error-prone Hamilton offense that has done a poor job of protecting Evans.

Hamilton’s defense looked much better, at least until the last quarter. On paper, the Ticats defense should be as good as last year when they held their opponents to just 17.4 points per game — the second-best mark in the league, behind Winnipeg’s 13.4 points.

There are also key injuries that could slow both offenses down. The Ticats will be without a start running back Don Jackson and center Alex Fontana. Meanwhile. the Bombers will miss their own center, Michael Couture, while All-Star right tackle Jermarcus Hardrick is questionable.

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Prediction: Under 43 (-110 at DraftKings)

Best bet

Given the Ticats’ recent struggles down the stretch and Winnipeg’s ability to turn things up a notch in critical times, it’s hard to bet against the home team here. Keep in mind that the Bombers didn’t allow a fourth-quarter touchdown in 2021 until the final two weeks of the season, when they began resting half of their starters.

We’d like to bet the Bombers on the second-half or fourth-quarter spread, but the books were wary of making such lines available. We’ll definitely be keeping a close eye on this game and considering supporting the Bombers on the live line before the final frame, but until then we’ll happily take them with this relatively short line.

Take: Blue Bombers -3.5 (-120 at FanDuel)

CFL Parade

Did you know that if you were able to parlay the CFL Tiger-Cats picks against the Blue Bombers this week, you could win $25.00 on a $10 bet?

Use our CFL parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here

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